MILWAUKEE – A new Marquette Law School poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden the choice of 48% of likely voters in Wisconsin, President Donald Trump supported by 43% and Libertarian Jo Jorgensen receiving 2%. October 2020. By party identification and by year, October 2016 and October 2020, Table 25: Change in economy over past 12 months, January-October 2020, Table 26: Outlook for the economy over the next 12 months, January-October 2020. Table 13: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, March-October 2020. Capital Times, The Red and the Blue: Political Polarization Through the Prism of Metropolitan Milwaukee A third of respondents think Trump has mild symptoms from COVID-19, while slightly more say they don’t yet know how ill he is. Over a third say they’ve stopped talking about politics with someone, and this varies by political party. In this poll, the 18-29-year-old sample is more Republican and more likely to vote for Trump than has typically been the case. Table 25: Change in economy over past 12 months, Table 26: Outlook for the economy over the next 12 months. March-October 2020. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) October 7, … Table 15: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of his job as president, May-October 2020. Marquette University MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) - The last Marquette Law School Poll before the election indicates another close presidential race in Wisconsin. Forty percent approve of the way Gov. Tables 8 and 9 show favorable and unfavorable ratings for Pence and Harris this fall. With substantial partisan differences in choice of ballot type, there are large differences in candidate choice by ballot type, as shown in Table 23 among likely voters. More people than in September say they are very worried by the risk of getting ill from the coronavirus, and support for requiring masks in public places is slightly higher than in August when last asked. Table 28: Evers recent favorability trend, Table 29: Sen. Tammy Baldwin recent favorability trend, Table 30: Sen. Ron Johnson recent favorability trend. In the new late-October poll, 50% approve and 43% disapprove of Wisconsin Gov. Results and commentary will be synchronously released on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account. The results of the runoff election in Georgia will determine who controls the Senate during at least the first part of President-elect Joe Biden’s presidency. Marquette.edu // News Center // 2020 News Releases  //. Table 18: Tony Evers’ job approval, January-October 2020. Handling of the economy remains Trump’s strongest area of approval, with 51% approval and 45% disapproval in October. Table 24: Is there anyone you have stopped talking with about politics due to disagreements over the election for president? March-October 2020, Supreme Court nomination and upcoming Affordable Care Act case. Table 13: Favorable or unfavorable view of Pence, September-October 2020, Table 14: Favorable or unfavorable view of Harris, September-October 2020. MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) - The last Marquette Law School Poll before the election indicates another close presidential race in Wisconsin. Twenty-seven percent of likely voters say they are very confident that the votes will be accurately cast and counted in the election, with 43% somewhat confident, 21% not too confident and 7% not at all confident. The full trend for this question is shown in Table 17. Democrats are more likely to have stopped talking about politics than are Republicans or independents and have become more unwilling to talk in 2020 than in 2016. By party identification. This is the first time since January 2019, when the legislature’s job approval was first asked, that more disapprove than approve. Table 20 shows the trend since May. Among Biden voters, 80% expect him to win and 6% expect Trump to win. Most Republicans intend to vote in person on Election Day, with fewer than one-fifth planning to choose absentee by mail. Those results also included those who were undecided but leaned to a candidate. This is the final Marquette Law School poll before the November 3 election. Less than a half of 1% say both candidates did well. Table 4 shows how worries have varied since March, when the percent very or somewhat worried was at the highest level seen so far. Since January 2017, the long-term partisan balance, including those who lean to a party, in the Marquette poll has been 45% Republican and 45% Democratic, with 9% independent. The poll shows little change from the Oct. 4 poll which had Biden with 47% of votes and Trump with 42%. Table 17: Do you think the decision last spring to close schools and businesses and to restrict the size of public gatherings was an appropriate response to the coronavirus outbreak or was it an overreaction that did more harm than good? The number who say they will vote in person on Election Day continues to rise. Local Government Dane County reaffirms stay-at-home order as others roll theirs back Table 6: Support for requiring masks by region by poll, August and October 2020. The entire questionnaire, methodology statement, full results and breakdowns by demographic groups are available at law.marquette.edu/poll/results-and-data. Republicans are divided on the issue, while a large majority of independents support requiring masks and Democrats are almost unanimous in support. MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) - The last Marquette Law School Poll before the election indicates another close presidential race in Wisconsin. In October, 27% say they are very worried about being ill from the coronavirus, an increase from 21% in September. In late October, 22% say they are very worried about becoming ill from the coronavirus, a decrease from 27% in early October despite the rise of cases in the state. Among Democrats, 3% are voting for Trump and 92% are voting for Biden, with none for Jorgensen and 4% undecided or declining to say. Table 9: Favorable or unfavorable view of Black Lives Matter movement, June-October 2020. The vote margins may be sensitive to assumptions about turnout. Table 21: Favorable or unfavorable view of Black Lives Matter movement, June-October 2020, Approval of Evers’ job performance and handling of coronavirus. The poll was conducted Sept. 8-15. Each day will feature a video conversation between poll director Charles Franklin and Mike Gousha, distinguished fellow in law and public policy, available at 12:15 p.m. CST on the Marquette Law School website. In May, 42% were comfortable and 57% were uncomfortable, while in June 49% were comfortable and 49% were uncomfortable. Table 1 shows the trend in vote among likely voters from May through September. Table 22: Ballot type by party identification, by poll, May-October 2020. There is little change from September to October. Favorable and unfavorable views of Trump have been stable in recent months. Judge Amy Coney Barrett has been nominated to fill the vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court created by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. In the new poll, Biden is the choice of 46% of likely voters and Trump is supported by 41%. Milwaukee, WI 53233 Evers’ handling of the coronavirus issue brings approval from 56% and disapproval from 38%. Most think that in-person campaign rallies should be halted, while a majority think the debates should continue. Table 3: Do you think the Senate should vote on the nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court before the presidential election or wait until after the election to decide whether or not to vote on the nomination? The Marquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in Wisconsin history. Results and commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will … The Marquette Law Poll is a public policy initiative of Marquette University Law School. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available at 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law School Poll website. Table 4: Does ‘Cares about people like you’ describe Trump, June-October 2020, Table 5: Does ‘Cares about people like you’ describe Biden, June-October 2020. Five items were added to the survey after Trump announced he had tested positive for COVID-19 and were asked Oct. 2-4 with a sample size of 355 registered voters and a margin of error of +/- 6.4. Marquette University Law School poll released on Tuesday showed. Given the consistency of Biden’s margin in multiple polls this year, it is likely that the 18-29-year-old result in October is a sampling anomaly rather than a real change. The president gets good marks in the poll for his handling of the economy, 52 percent approve while 44 percent disapprove. Table 1: Vote among likely voters, May-October 2020. Among Republicans, 61% say they are very or somewhat confident the votes will be accurately counted and 37% are not too confident or not at all confident. The partisan divide over the ACA is shown in Table 19. An additional 9% declined to say for whom they voted. The poll will also look at how people have responded to the protests in support of the Black Lives Matter movement and how those responses have changed since June, as well as feelings about police use of deadly force and how President Trump has responded to the protests. Only 41% could offer an opinion on Chief Justice John Roberts. The last Marquette Law School Poll, in early August, gave Biden a five point lead (49-44). That is a one-point decline in approval from September. Partisanship excluding those who lean has been 30% Republican and 29% Democratic, with 40% independent. There are 749 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. May was the high-water mark, among all partisan categories, for the percentage saying they would vote absentee by mail. Tony Evers’ job performance. Eckstein Hall, 244 Mon - Fri: 8:30 a.m. - 4:30 p.m. Phone: (800) 222-6544, Privacy Policy Legal Disclaimer Non-Discrimination Policy Accessible Technology. The poll will look at voter intentions, how voters feel about the candidates, and who is most likely to vote in the November election. Eighty percent of Trump voters expect him to win and 11% expect Biden to win. Table 17: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak, March-October 2020, Approval of Evers’ job performance and handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Kevin is the associate director for university communication in the Office of Marketing and Communication. Table 12: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of protests, June-October 2020. The full trends for favorability of Trump and Biden are shown in Tables 6 and 7. There were 700 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. Table 28: Evers’ recent favorability trend, Table 29: Sen. Tammy Baldwin’s recent favorability trend, Table 30: Sen. Ron Johnson’s recent favorability trend. Table 16: Taking into consideration both your risk of contracting it and the seriousness of the illness, how worried are you personally about experiencing coronavirus? After an initial approval rating in March of over 50% for his handling of the coronavirus outbreak, Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 41% in October, unchanged from September. Forty-nine percent have a favorable view of Biden and 46% have an unfavorable view of him. #mulawpoll" Eckstein Hall, 244 Mon - Fri: 8:30 a.m. - 4:30 p.m. Table 4: Taking into consideration both your risk of contracting it and the seriousness of the illness, how worried are you personally about experiencing coronavirus? Fifty-six percent say this describes Biden and 40% say this does not describe him. Sixteen percent of likely voters expect Trump to win the election by a lot, 23 percent think Trump will win by a little, 29% think Biden will win by a little and 17% think Biden will win by a lot. As of October, 44% approve and 52% disapprove. By Kati Anderson . Handling of the economy remains Trumps strongest area of approval, with 51% approval and 48% disapproval in the new poll, a 3-point increase in disapproval. The results are little changed from the Marquette Law School poll conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 4, in which Biden was the choice of 47%, Trump the choice of 42% and Jorgensen the choice of 4%. Table 24 shows the comparison by party for 2016 and 2020. Favorable views of the Black Lives Matter movement also declined from June to August, but has remained fairly stable since August, as shown in Table 21. The partisan makeup of the sample, excluding those who lean to a party, is 30% Republican, 29% Democratic and 40% percent independent. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available at 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law School Poll website. Table 24: Wisconsin legislature’s job approval. According to the Wisconsin Elections Commission data, 37.5% of registered voters had voted as of the end of the poll’s field period on Oct. 25. They were also announced via Marquette Law poll’s Twitter. The September poll will focus on how the presidential race looks following the party conventions, and in the aftermath of events in Kenosha. Approval is 3 points higher than in early October, with no change in disapproval. In October, 52% approve and 42% disapprove of his job performance. None of the poll-to-poll changes in support are outside the margin of error. Eighty-two percent of Democrats are very or somewhat confident the vote will be accurately counted, while 18% are not too or not at all confident. Democrat Joe … Democrat Joe … Since June, the percent who are very worried has fluctuated, seemingly in line with periods of increasing or decreasing numbers of new cases of COVID-19 in the state, while the number of those not at all worried has stabilized close to 20%. Trump’s law and order message falls flat in Wisconsin . By party identification. If all age groups are weighted to match their long-term partisan composition, the overall vote margin changes by only 1 percentage point, to 48% Biden and 42% for Trump. The full trends for both Trump and Biden are shown in Tables 11 and 12. Phone: 414.288.5285 Fax: 414.288.5881 john.novotny@marquette.edu In September, 51% approved and 43% disapproved. In late October, the percentage living comfortably rose while the percentages just getting by or struggling declined. MILWAUKEE — Marquette University Law School will release the results of a new statewide survey on Wednesday, Oct. 28, via a video conversation between poll director Charles Franklin and Mike Gousha. Table 19: Tony Evers’ handling of coronavirus outbreak, March-October 2020, Choice of ballot type for November election. Table 16: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, May-October 2020. Marquette poll shows Biden up 5 in Wisconsin. There are three likely themes for this initiative: presidential and Senate campaigns; citizen reaction to the current state administration and its … [This release has been updated to reflect the date change from Aug. 5 which was announced on July 30] Commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. The margin of error is +/-4.3 percentage points for the full sample. This poll interviewed 806 registered Wisconsin voters by landline or cell phone, Oct. 21-25, 2020. Marquette poll: Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by 49% to 41% in Wisconsin ... according to Wednesday's Marquette University Law School Poll. Half of respondents think the pandemic will continue for another year or more before things start to return to normal, while 20% say it will be under control within three months. Table 7: Support for requiring masks by party identification by poll, August and October 2020, Views of protests, BLM and Evers’ response to events in Kenosha. A substantial 37% say they don’t know how serious Trump’s illness is. Trump has held a 42% favorable rating since June, with 53-to-55% unfavorable. The 18-29-year-old group is only 60 respondents (unweighted) which has a large margin of error of more than +/- 15 percentage points. Approval of how Trump is handling his job as president is little changed over the surveys since May, as shown in Table 15. Results and commentary will be synchronously released on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account. There is less variation in support of presidential candidates than in either the 2012 or 2016 summer and fall Marquette Law School polls. Looking back to the closing of schools and businesses last spring, 68% say this was an appropriate response to the coronavirus epidemic, while 26% say it was an overreaction. They declined very slightly in October, as shown in Table 9. 1250 W. Wisconsin Ave. New Marquette Law School Poll finds that, amid major developments, there has been little change in Wisconsin voter’s presidential preferences. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen is the choice of 4%, while 8% say they would vote for none of these candidates, don’t know how they would vote or decline to say. The Marquette Law School Poll of 1,523 adults nationwide found the 87-year-old Ginsburg was easily the most recognized of the nine justices, with 63% of respondents saying they knew enough to have an opinion on her. However, respondents have a strongly positive outlook for the economy over the next 12 months. Table 6: Favorable or unfavorable view of Trump, May-Oct. 2020, Table 7: Favorable or unfavorable view of Biden, May-October 2020. Among Biden supporters, 95% say their minds are made up. In the likely-voter sample, 7% say they are undecided or declined to say how they would vote. Table 10 shows approval, since June, of Trump’s handling of protests since the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis. The percentage of Democrats choosing absentee by mail has declined since May while their intention to vote in-person on Election Day has increased. Five items were added to the survey after Trump announced he had tested positive for COVID-19 and were asked Oct. 2-4 to 355 registered voters. The full trend since May is shown in Table 16. The ongoing coronavirus pandemic and how comfortable people are with reopening schools are also covered in the poll. A plurality, 47%, think the Big Ten conference and University of Wisconsin—Madison should play football this fall, while 40% think they should not play. A Marquette Law School Poll showed virtually no movement in voter attitudes toward mass protests; Democrats say … Among those who say they have already voted, 64% report they voted for Biden, 25% voted for Trump, and 2% voted for Jorgensen. Subscribe … Table 1: Vote preference among likely voters, September-October 2020, Sensitivity of results to turnout and undecided voters. None of the poll-to-poll changes in support is outside the margin of error. While the allocation reduced the undecided, refused and other categories, it does not change the margin, which remains 5 points in favor of Biden. Democrat Joe … Table 10: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of his job as president, March-October 2020, Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Among all registered voters, 43% say “cares about people like you” describes Trump and 54% say this does not describe him. The sample included 806 registered voters in Wisconsin, who were interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points. There has been little change in regions since August, except for the non-Fox Valley north and west of the state (“Rest of the state”), where support has increased.

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